This column is advice only; Go With Your Gut!
Players I think have favourable/unfavourable match ups heading into week six.
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(WAS) QB Robert Griffin III vs. (DAL) – With only one touchdown pass in his two games prior to the bye week, Griffin has been under performing for fantasy owners this year. In week six however against the division rival Cowboys, RGIII has potential for his best game of the season in what could be another high scoring affair involving the Cowboys. Griffin should also be improved and healthier coming off the bye.
(OAK) QB Terrelle Pryor vs. (KC) – Going into Kansas City to play the Chiefs is not going to be an easy matchup for Pryor, but he has shown a good amount of ability to control a game on keep his team in the hunt. Even in the game against the Broncos, Pryor and the Raiders faired better than most others. It also helps that the Chiefs have allowed other quarterbacks to run for 50 or more yards, something that should be easy for Pryor. I am not expecting much more than 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns from the passing game, but 50-75 yards on the ground would make him a great start.
(PIT) RB LeVeon Bell vs. (NYJ) – The Jets currently have one of the best run defences and overall defences in the NFL right now, but I still like LeVeon Bell’s chances of having a pretty good against the Jets. The Steelers are still looking for their first win largely due to the lack of a run game, something Bell gives them. While the Jets only allow 3 yards per carry to opposing running backs, I think the Steelers give Bell close to 20 carries either way. Like RGIII, Bell is coming off the bye and healthier than ever.
(CIN) RB Giovani Bernard vs. (BUF) – The Bills defence has been extremely giving to opposing players once again in 2013, and should be very porous once again against the Bengals runners. Annoyingly, Green-Ellis is still getting a good amount of carries, but Bernard is the far more explosive runner and will have a great chance to gash the Bills for some big plays.
(HOU) RB Ben Tate vs. (STL) – Tate is yet to score a touchdown this season and has not topped 50 yards in his last three outings, but I like his upcoming matchup against the Rams. The Rams run defence has been awful this season, and with Matt Schaub throwing the ball to the other team as much as he has been, I think the Texans run the ball as much as possible. Tate has been getting between 7-9 carries per game thus far in 2013, but could be in like for 10-15 against the struggling Rams.
(SD) WR Keenan Allen vs. (IND) – For the past couple of season I have heard a lot about and have been waiting for the breakout of wide receiver Vincent Brown. But here I am, about to write about the guy now playing opposite Brown, the extremely talented Keenan Allen. In the past two weeks with Alexander and Floyd out, Allen has caught 11 passes for 195 yards and a touchdown and has the potential to keep the pace up. Keenan has the talent to be the Chargers best option the rest of the season.
(CAR) TE Greg Olsen vs. (MIN) – A repeat appearance from Olsen, who was on the Start ‘Em list last week and had a decent game with 79 yards. This weekend Olsen gets the Vikings who along with the Dolphins are the giving up the most points to opposing tight ends.
(ARI) QB Carson Palmer vs. (SF) – Palmer looked really good in week one of the season but since then has thrown only three touchdowns compared to eight interceptions since then. In week six Palmer and the Cardinals get to play on the road against the ‘49ers, no thank you.
(NYJ) QB Geno Smith vs. (PIT) – With the Steelers coming off the bye week and being a well-coached team, I worry about the rest and schemes they will have waiting for the Jets. However, after watching Geno Smith a few times this season it is obvious the potential the guy has. He appears poised when in the pocket yet can move and run with the best of them. I don’t think he has as clean of a game as he had against the Falcons, but he will again be counted on heavily to help his team keep winning games. His fantasy potential for this week could depend on how well the Steelers contain his running ability; I don’t think their WRs will be able to beat the Steelers secondary consistently enough.
(JAC) RB Maurice Jones-Drew vs. (DEN) – Yet to get 20 carries in a game, yet to crack 75 yards in a game and only one touchdown through 5 weeks. The point spread for this game is expected to be close to an NFL record (-26.5 as I write this), as Peyton Manning should absolutely shred this defence while the Broncos defence makes life tough on Henne, MJD and the rest of the Jaguars offence. Perhaps the Jaguars commit to running early in an attempt to keep the ball out of Peyton’s hands, but it’s only a matter of time before the Jaguars are playing catch up and throwing the ball to Justin Blackmon and Cecil Shorts.
(TEN) RB Chris Johnson vs. (SEA) – 25, 25, 19, 15, 10; these are Johnson’s carries per game over the first five weeks. Notice a pattern? The only positive I see in his stat lines is that he is seeing more work as a pass catcher where he is also very effective, and actually had almost all of his fantasy production last week from one pass and catch he took 50 yards and a touchdown. This weekend against the Seahawks I don’t think Johnson gets more than 10-15 carries again without a score.
(GB) RB Eddie Lacy vs. (BAL) – After getting 99 yards on 23 carries last week against the Lions, Lacy is going to have a tough matchup this weekend going into Baltimore to play the Ravens. The Ravens should keep Lacy to a rather modest yards per carry, so I think his only chance for a good fantasy game is if he finds the end zone. But hey, with the Packers offence in front of him he just might.
(NE) Julian Edelman vs. (NO) – Danny Amendola returned for some spot duties last week and is rumoured to be close to 100% for this coming weekend; bad news for Julian Edelman. Edelman has been a waiver wire darling with Amendola out for multiple weeks with an injury, but is likely to take a back seat now that Amendola is back. Edelman plays essentially the same role as Danny and will not be needed anywhere close to the extent he was before.
(STL) WR Tavon Austin vs. (HOU) – As much as the Texans have seemed to struggle a bit this year and are allowing more than 20 points per game, their defence has actually played rather well. The Texans points allowed stat has been greatly skewed by the fact that Matt Schaub has thrown 4 pic-6’s that equals 28 points. If you take that away the Texans defence all of a sudden looks like one of the best in the league, which they are. Don’t expect much from any Rams receiver this weekend.