My Five (5) Favourite Point Spread Betting Lines for Week Twelve (12) of the 2013 NFL Football Season.
This column is advice / opinion only!
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5 @ Detroit Lions
Coming off their first two wins of the season, the Buccaneers are riding high for a team that is still 2-8 and playing for pride at this point. I don’t think they make it three wins in a row as they take on a superior Lions team in Detroit. The Lion however are a very inconsistent team that has only won a game by 10 or more points twice this season and will have a tough time making it a third time. The Lions also boast one of the worst pass defences in the league this season, so even if the Buccaneers do fall behind by a pair of touchdowns, they will have the opportunity to throw the ball effectively and cover the large spread. Lions win, Bucs cover. Buccaneers +9.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 @ Cleveland Browns
This one is likely to be a hard fought low scoring affair as is common when AFC North rivals meet. Despite being on the road I like the Steelers to take this game as they have thrown the ball effectively lately while the Browns have been bad against the pass in recent weeks as well. Browns CB Joe Haden will make life hard on Antonio Brown, but Big Ben should be able to use Jerricho Cotchery, Emmanuel Sanders and Heath Miller while Haden is busy with Antonio. Le’Veon Bell has also proved to be a rather effective pass catcher out of the backfield thus far. The Steelers win a close one in Cleveland. Steelers +1.5.
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers -4.5
The Packers still don’t have Aaron Rodgers back, but I still have faith in them to earn a win over the division rival Vikings at home this weekend. Scott Tolzien hopefully won’t be asked to do a whole lot in this game other than make some short throws to keep the chains moving while taking the odd shot downfield. The Packers almost always play well at home and the Vikings defence is terrible, allowing 280 pass yards per game and another 110 on the ground. Helping the cause for Green Bay is that Adrian Peterson has been troubled by a groin injury the last week. Even without A-Rod, I see the Packers getting a touchdown win over the Vikings at home. Packers -4.5.
San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs -4.5
The Chiefs are obviously the better team this season and are playing at home, so you would think them covering a 5-point spread isn’t a crazy thought. The Chiefs have a great defence while the Chargers can be very inconsistent on offence. The Chargers have bee susceptible to a good run game so far this season and will be taking on one o the best running backs in the game in Jamaal Charles. The reason I really like the Chiefs to win this by at least a touchdown is the circumstance they are currently in. The Chiefs suffered their first loss of the season against the Broncos last weekend and will have to face those same Broncos. The last thing the Chiefs want is to go into that Broncos matchup having lost two in a row and possibly down by a game in the standings if the Broncos beat the Patriots. I really like the Chiefs to come out and take it to the Chargers, making sure they head into the Broncos matchup with a win. Chiefs -4.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5 @ Houston Texans
As bad as they have been this season I don’t imagine the Texans will lose at home to the Jaguars, but I wouldn’t put it past them. Give me an 11-point spread and I will take it every time; it is not very often you see a 2-8 team with a double-digit spread. If the Jaguars pull this game out, which is not impossible, they will have the same record as the disappointing Texans. As bad as the Texans have been during their eight game losing streak, they have routinely led at half and then fallen apart in the third and fourth quarters. To me this bodes well for the Jaguars incase they are down at the half. The Texans finally get their third win, but only by a touchdown at most. Jaguars +10.5.