Players I think have favourable/unfavourable match ups heading into week twelve.
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(TB) QB Mike Glennon @ (DET) – Glennon is yet to have a three touchdown game this season, but he might need to in order to keep up with the Lions offence. Luckily for Glennon the Lions have a bottom-three defence in passing yards allowed per game while having a top-five run defence; he is going to need to throw. Glennon could end up as a top-12 quarterback in week 12.
(IND) QB Andrew Luck @ (ARI) – With only one passing touchdown and three interceptions in his last two starts, Luck should able to have about 20 points in trying to take down the Cardinals in Arizona. The Cardinals have a pretty solid pass defence, rankings as the thirteenth best team against opposing quarterbacks. With that said it won’t be easy for Luck to get those twenty points, but the Cardinals are a tough team to beat at home and Luck is going to need to be on top of his game. Trent Richardson is not giving the Colts much in the running game and I don’t have much faith in Donald Brown despite his recent success. Did you know if the Cardinals take this game at home, they will have won four in a row and posses the same record as the Colts at 7-4?
(NE) RB Shane Vereen vs. (DEN) – Vereen is one of the best pass catching running backs in the league, and pass catching running backs tend to have success at the Broncos. Not tht hard to figure out really; Bronco opponents are usually behind for much of the game and are playing in catch up mode. While the Patriots have the potential to keep pace with the Broncos, I still think the Broncos eventually take the lead and win the game. In the second half Vereen could see a lot of work on top of his usual looks.
(STL) RB Zac Stacy vs. (CHI) – Not much to explain here. If you haven’t realized that the Bears are beat up on defence and awful against the run, well, they are. Last week the Browns gave the massively struggling Ray Rice his first 100+ yard game of the season. Since earning the starting role for the Rams, Stacy has been excellent for the team and is must-start material this weekend and should be a monster.
(BAL) WR Torrey Smith vs. (NYJ) – While his yards per game have drastically dropped since being a top receiver the first five weeks of the season, Smith has touchdowns in back-to-back games. The Jets have an excellent run defence, so quarterback Joe Flacco will likely need to throw the ball quite a bit. I see Flacco throwing a pair of touchdowns in a low scoring game, with Smith grabbing one of them.
(KC) WR Dwayne Bowe vs. (SD) – The Chargers have been bad against the pass this season, currently allowing the fifth most points to opposing wide receivers. Still yet to top 70 yards in a single game this season, Bowe will have a chance to finally do it this week. The Chiefs are coming off a loss to the Broncos who they have to play again next week, they will certainly be looking for a win over San Diego. Helping Bowe’s cause is the top-ten run defence that Jamaal Charles will be going against. Here’s to hoping for 70 yards and a touchdown from Bowe.
(NYG) WR Rueben Randle vs. (DAL) – The Cowboys currently boast one one of the worst pass defences in recent memory, allowing a league worst 313 pass yards per game in 2013. The Giants are looking to win their fifth game in a row and move themselves closer to actually winning the NFC East after losing the first six game of the season; unbelievable. Manning has been hard to trust this year, but he did have his best game of the season in week one, when he threw for 450 yards and four touchdowns against these same Cowboys. Victor Cruz is poised to have a big game, but Hakeem Nicks has been extremely disappointing. This should leave the door open for Randle catch his seventh touchdown of the season and third in three games. Randle should be a strong flex play this weekend.
(PIT) TE Heath Miller @ (CLE) – The Browns have a certain cornerback named Joe Haden. Joe Haden is very talented. Antonio Brown is having a career season and is coming off a huge week against the Lions, but will be seeing a whole lot of Haden this coming weekend. Jerricho Cotchery has been great in recent weeks and should see some benefit from Brown’s tough matchup, but tight end Heath Miller could also see a boost in targets. Miller has been rather ineffective thus far in 2013, but could have his best game to date if he can catch about 50-70 yards and a score.
(SD) QB Philip Rivers @ (KC) – After throwing for 13 touchdowns in his first five games of the season, Rivers has only thrown six in his last five outings. Things don’t get much easier this weekend when he takes on the Chiefs in Kansas City. The Chiefs have a top-ten defence against opposing quarterbacks so far this season, so I don’t expect Rivers to turn things around this weekend and likely end up outside the top-12 fantasy quarterbacks.
(CHI) QB Josh McCown @ (STL) – McCown has been a solid replacement for Palmer and the Bears, but has been someone limited as a fantasy option. He did have a 21-point effort against the Packers a few weeks ago in throwing for 272 yards and two touchdowns, but has just one touchdown pass in his other outing. The Rams have also been solid against the pass this season while being pretty terrible against opposing running backs. Forte will likely see a lot of work while McCown is limited to around 20-25 pass attempts.
(BAL) RB Ray Rice vs. (NYJ) – Be afraid Rice owners, be very, very afraid. Rice broke out last week with his first 100+ yard game of the season and scored his fourth touchdown. The impressive outing was however against the Bears, a team that is letting every opposing running back they face in recent weeks to have excellent fantasy production. Even Brandon Jacobs ran all over them! The Jets have one the best run defences in football this season and should return Rice back to single-digit fantasy points; you are praying for a touchdown.
(ARI) RB Andre Ellington vs. (IND) – Ellington had 154 yards and a touchdown three weeks ago when he was the lone rusher for the Cardinals. Since the return of Rashard Mendenhall however, he has rushed the ball 19 times for just 58 yards over his last two games. I was really hoping the Cardinals would use Ellington more after seeing what he could do, but it seems they are content with handing the ball to the plodding veteran just as much. Mendenhall has 26 carries in the Cardinals last two games and really limits the fantasy potential of Ellington.
(MIA) WR Mike Wallace vs. (CAR) – Wallace continues to be extremely disappointing for fantasy owners this season, as the speedy wide out only has two double digit fantasy games on the season. Wallace has been held to four or less fantasy points six times already this season. While the Dolphins are still in the race for an AFC wild card spot, Wallace is going to have a tough time helping his team get a win against a red hot Panthers defence. Wallace does have the potential for a big play at any time, I wouldn’t want to be counting on him for one this weekend.
(DAL) WR Terrence Williams @ (NYG) – Terrence Williams really has me worried this coming weekend. I have him on my most important fantasy league and am really in need of a win this week. While he has been great for me since grabbing him off the waiver wire, there are is a stat that has me worried and a certain players return that could impact him. For starters Miles Austin is expected to be back in the Cowboys lineup against the Giants, likely taking away some targets from Williams. Williams has also been cashing in big for owners while catching less than 50 percent of his targets, which has me worried. Also, the Giants defence has been much better recently; a large reason the team is now winning games. Williams is looking like a boom or bust play this week that has me leaning bust.
(SD) TE Antonio Gates @ (KC) – Gates has been pretty effective at times this season, with four double-digit fantasy performances so far this season, but has a very tough matchup against the Chiefs this weekend. The Chiefs boast a solid defence as everyone knows, a defence that allows a league low amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Gates in nowhere near the player he used to be and could be held in check in this tough matchup. Gates is likely going to need a touchdown catch in order to top the ten-point mark in week 12.