My Five (5) Favourite Point Spread Betting Lines for Week Thirteen (13) of the 2013 NFL Football Season.
This column is advice / opinion only!
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Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 @ Cleveland Browns
The Cleveland Browns are favoured by a touchdown? Really? The Browns have lost five of their last six matchups, with their one win coming over the Ravens by six. Brandon Weedon is now the starting quarterback again, who strikes fear into the heart of no defence; I can’t remember the last time he started in a game the Browns won. The Jaguars on the other hand are winners of two of their last three and look like a semi-competent team. I can see either team winning this awful matchup, but would think Cleveland takes it at home, but not by a touchdown. Jaguars +7.5.
Tennessee Titans +4.5 @ Indianapolis Colts
The Colts have been a different team the last few weeks, missing Reggie Wayne in their passing game, struggling in the running game and falling behind by large amounts in the first half. The Colts did win the first matchup between these two teams two weeks ago in Tennessee, but it was only a field goal; these division rivals should be very familiar with each other. As much as I want to think the Colts will win this one again at home, they have not looked like a solid enough team for me trust them, let alone take a five-point spread. I think the value here likes in taking the points in this divisional matchup. I can’t help but feel that the Colts have played over their heads at times, but have come back to earth in recent weeks and will have trouble with the Titans 11th overall ranked defence in terms of yards. Titans +4.5.
St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco ‘49ers -7.5
The Rams have been playing like a pretty solid team this season and have looked even better in recent weeks with back-to-back wins by a combined 51 points over the Colts and Bears despite having Kellen Clemons under centre. However, the ‘49ers have looked even better in their recent matchups and are still getting healthier. These two teams faces early in the season with the ‘49ers winning a 35-11 game in St. Louis, and I envision San Fran winning by a similar score this time at home. San Fran is still fighting for a wild card spot with Carolina and Arizona both on winning streaks and should overwhelm Clemons and the Rams for a double-digit win. ‘49ers -7.5.
Atlanta Falcons @ Buffalo Bills -3.5
The game is not actually in Buffalo, but will be played in my home country as the Bills continue to host the odd game in Toronto, Ontario, where the Bills have had little success. Luckily for the Bills though the Falcons have been an awful team this season, with a terrible run defence. The Bills on the other hand have an excellent running combination in Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller who both could have solid games. EJ Manuel has also looked pretty good when healthy and is playing in his third straight start. Despite the Bills lack of success when playing in Toronto historically, I like them to earn a win over the Falcons this time around. I really wish it were just a field goal for the spread, but still feel confident in taking them to win by four. Bills -3.5.
New York Giants -2.5 @ Washington Redskins
A road favourite this weekend, The Giants defence has been a largely improved unit in recent weeks which has been the biggest reason they have won four of their last five and always pulled out a win over the Cowboys last week. This week thy get Washington, a team that is surrounded by turmoil due to four losses in five games and boasts one of the worst defences in football. Last year Washington depended on their stellar offence to keep them in games and earn victories, but that offence has been a shell of itself this year. Robert Griffin does not look the same this year on his reconstructed knee and I think he loses another one this week to the division rival Giants. The Giants pass rush has been much better in recent weeks with a healthy Pierre-Paul and will likely make things tough on RGIII. Giants -2.5.