Players I think have favourable/unfavourable match ups heading into week sixteen.
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(SF) QB Colin Kaepernick vs. (ATL) – The ‘49ers are 10-4 on the season but still have not locked up a wild card spot as the Cardinals are just one game behind and looking to steal the spot in the final weeks, so the ‘49ers are going to be looking to crush the Falcons when they host them this weekend. Kaepernick himself has not exactly been fantasy gold this year; actually sitting behind Ryan Tannehill in fantasy points scored this season. He will however be a great play this week as I expect him to torch Atlanta for at least 300 total yards (passing and rushing) and accounting for at least three touchdowns.
(DAL) QB Tony Romo @ (WAS) – Romo has not had many explosive games this season but has had a very low floor in most games, scoring around 20 points most weeks. I think this week in a must win scenario against an awful Washington defence he will have one of his best games of the season. Both Washington and Dallas have much better offences than defences so this game SHOULD be a high scoring affair (now that I have said that it will probably be a 21-17 win or something).
(MIA) RB Lamar Miller vs. (BUF) – Daniel Thomas has been unable to participate in practice so far this week, which is good news for Lamar Miller owners. Miller only has one 100-yard rushing effort this season and has rushed for just two touchdowns, but has not had many games of with a high numbers of touches (just four games of 15+ touches). If Daniel Thomas ends up not being able to play or is hampered by an injury, it should give Miller the opportunity have 80+ total yards and hopefully a touchdown. Make sure you pay attention to the status of Daniel Thomas on Sunday morning.
(JAC) RB Jordan Todman vs. (TEN) – Tennessee has been bad against running backs this season and Jordan Todman was given 25 carries last week for 109 yards. While you may not want to trust a rather unknown running back, as long as he is getting the carries against the bad defence then I think you have to go with him. Todman was also targeted eight times as a receiver, catching four of them 44 more yards. I like the odds of Jacksonville using him heavily again this week.
(WAS) WR Pierre Garcon vs. (DAL) – Garcon has been explosive at times this season, but has not been very consistent with just four 100+ yard games and four touchdowns on the season. He could end the season on a hot streak however with Kirk Cousins throwing him the ball as opposed to RGIII. Cousins looked very good last week, while he was picked off twice he had to throw the ball 45 times in a come from behind effort and found Garcon 7 times on 11 targets for 129 and a touchdown. Compared to RGIII it seems obvious that Cousins is the better pocket-passer and will be the better quarterback for Washington wide receivers.
(OAK) WR Rod Streater @ (SD) – Streater only had four catches for 57 yards last week but was still targeted a team high nine times in the loss to the Chiefs. I like the fact that Streater was still heavily targeted and has a much better matchup this weekend against the Chargers pass defence. The Chargers are also coming off the biggest win of their season against the Chargers and could be poised for a let down game this weekend; then again they are playing for a playoff spot still despite the low odds. If Streater sees another nine targets I like his chances of catching more than four of them and hopefully finding the end zone for owners.
(MIA) TE Charles Clay @ (BUF) – I am going to keep the faith in Charles Clay as I don’t think the Bills will be able to shut him down the way the Patriots did. The Bills also have a solid pass rush that might force Tannehill to get the ball out quicker than usual. Should that be the case, Clay is a very large target that can make a catch with a defender on him and is very hard to bring down.
(IND) QB Andrew Luck @ (KC) – Despite some bad matchups this season Luck has still managed to be a top quarterback in fantasy this year thanks to over 350 yards and four touchdowns rushing. Despite his high fantasy total for the season I don’t like his chances of being in the top-12 this weekend playing on the road in Kansas City. Luck tends to struggle much more when playing outdoors, which will be the case this week, playing in Arrowhead Stadium. Some owners could be faced with the idea of playing someone like Kirk Cousins over Andrew Luck. I think I would take the chance on Cousins having a big game against the Dallas defence then Luck having a big game outdoors against a good KC defence.
(BAL) QB Tom Brady @ (BAL) – Against the odds Brady has still managed to be a pretty solid fantasy quarterback this year, turning Julian Edelman into a must-start player and finding production from young rookies like Dobson and Thomkins (when healthy). This weekend however I think I leave Brady on the bench if I have another option like Cutler, Cousins or Foles. Baltimore has picked up their game in recent weeks behind improved defensive play and are still fighting against the Dolphins for the final AFC wild card spot. Brady has had his struggles against the Ravens in the past and the Ravens currently rank as a top-10 defence against quarterbacks this season. Also, without Gronk the Patriots have really struggled to score touchdowns in the end zone.
(NYG) RB Andre Brown @ (DET) – As much as the Lions are hard to trust, the Giants are even harder this season. While Brown could have a solid game, I do not trust the Giants to move the ball effectively and give him chances to score. The Lions continue to get in their way but I think they can get up early on the struggling Giants which will force Eli to continue to throw the ball and take opportunities away from Brown. I think Brown is going to end up with 15 or less carries unfortunately and will depend on a touchdown to get double-digit fantasy points.
(ATL) RB Steven Jackson @ (SF) – Jackson has five touchdowns in his last four starts, but only has a game high 84 yards over that span. This weekend he and the Falcons will be visiting a very tough ‘49ers team that is still looking to lock up and NFC wild card spot. I am expecting the ‘49ers to get up early on the Falcons which will limit the amount of carries that Jackson gets. I also don’t like the odds of Jackson finding the end zone.
(ARI) WR Larry Fitzgerald @ (SEA) – It is never easy sitting someone with the talent level of Larry Fitzgerald, but this is a week to do it if you can. Larry has missed a large amount of practice this week and is taking on the very tough Seahawks, in Seattle no less. I’m sorry Larry, but I just don’t like your adds of finding the end zone playing in Seattle, where he has not had much success in recent matchups.
(NO) WR Marques Colston @ (CAR) – Colston has been great for owners in recent weeks after having a pretty down season by his standards, but I think he will have another one of his lesser efforts this weekend against the Panthers. The Panthers have been very tough to opposing quarterbacks this year, and while Brees may have connected with Colston twice two weeks ago when these teams played, that was at home where the Saints are nearly unbeatable. This time around they will be in Carolina and playing a very important game for the division title.
(TB) TE Timothy Wright @ (STL) – Wright has been tough to figure out this season, scoring four touchdowns on the year, three of them coming against the Panthers, Seahawks and ‘49ers, some very tough defences. He has now scored in back-to-back weeks but is going to have a very tough time making it three in a row playing against the Rams defence. The Rams are a top-5 fantasy defence against tight ends, allowing just 636 yards and four touchdowns on the season.