My Five (5) Favourite Point Spread Betting Lines for Week Sixteen (16) of the 2013 NFL Football Season.
This column is advice / opinion only!
2-4 Last Week.
31-44-1 Through Fourteen (15) Weeks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 @ St. Louis Rams
I imagine the Rams are riding high after a big win over the Saints, which could mean a big let down this week against the Buccaneers. The Bucs have a rather talented roster with a solid run defence that I think matches up well against Zac Stacy and the Rams. Both teams have better defences than offences so I would not be surprised if this game ends up being won by a field goal by either team, so taking a 6-point spread seems like the better bet to me. The Rams do have some double-digit wins this season but have struggled against teams with good run defences like the Buccaneers (losses to San Francisco and Arizona in recent weeks). I think the Rams disappoint this week following the big win over the Saints. Buccaneers +5.5.
Miami Dolphins -3.5 @ Buffalo Bills
I usually avoid betting on my own team, but this week I really like the Dolphins to cover the spread against the Bills. The Dolphins need to win the next two games to ensure a wild card spot and have been playing very good in recent weeks behind improved play from Ryan Tannehill. Thad Lewis will be starting for the Bills as he did earlier in the season when the Bills beat the Dolphins, but I still like the ‘Fins to steal this away game the way the Bills did to them. The Dolphins glaring weakness at the moment is their secondary, but Brent Grimes should be back in the lineup which is a big boost and Stevie Johnson is going to be unavailable for the Bills. The Dolphins currently have control of their own fate if they win out and I like their odds against two struggling division opponents (Jets in week 17). ‘Fins up! Dolphins -3.5.
Denver Broncos -10.5 @ Houston Texans
The Texans are going to be handed their 13th straight loss this weekend by the Broncos and I think are thoroughly dismantled in the process. The Texans may allow some of the fewest yards passing this season but that can largely be attributed to the fact that most teams find success running the ball on them. The Broncos have three capable running backs and Peyton Manning should have no trouble in attempting to break Tom Brady’s single season touchdown record. Of one the Broncos biggest weaknesses this season has been stopping opposing running backs but Arian Foster is out for the season and Ben Tate will also not be active in this one. I am going against convention and taking the road team to cover a large spread. Broncos -10.5.
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5
The Jaguars have had a much improved run defence in recent weeks which bodes well for them playing at home against Chris Johnson and the Titans. The Titans on the other hand have been bad against the run this year and will have to stop a fresh-legged Jordan Todman who ran for 109 yards last week against the Bills. The Jaguars still have many things to improve on and could easily lose this game, but I like the odds they cover six points against Ryan Fitzpatrick and a five win team at home. Jaguars +5.5.
Chicago Bears +3.5 @ Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles will looking to bounce back from a surprising loss to the Vikings but will have a tough time against another team trying to win their division in the final weeks of the season. Last week the Eagles secondary was exposed by Matt Cassel of all people and will now have to stop Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery. I think this is going to be a very good game, which is why the game was flexed to Sunday night by the league. I actually think the Bears are going to win this game and even if they lose I like the odds that it comes down to a field goal. I am taking the points in this one. Bears +3.5.